‘Not a good signal’ — Bitcoin miner sell-off risk hits highest in 3 years
Bitcoin (BTC) miners appear to exist selling large amounts of BTC once more. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the BTC Miners' Position Index — a metric tracking the ratio of BTC leaving miners' wallets — achieved a 3-twelvemonth high. This trend indicates that miners are likely selling BTC on over-the-counter or spot exchanges.
On Dec. x, two large miner-linked Bitcoin transactions were spotted right every bit the Miner's Position Alphabetize abruptly spiked to levels unseen since 2017, co-ordinate to data from CryptoQuant.
First, around 800 BTC, worth $fourteen.5 one thousand thousand, moved to Binance. Second, 11,852 BTC, equivalent to $215.9 1000000, moved to an unknown cold wallet.
Non a good brusk-term signal for Bitcoin
Miners typically sell Bitcoin through spot or OTC exchanges. When a sell-off occurs on spot exchanges, it could intensify the near-term selling pressure on BTC. The bear on on the BTC toll is not as immediately felt when miners sell on OTC exchanges, since they are straight selling to buyers.
According to Ki Young Ju, the CEO of CryptoQuant, miners sold "a lot" of Bitcoin on Dec. ten. Although Ki remains optimistic about the price of BTC heading into January, he explained that this is a potentially worrying trend in the foreseeable hereafter. He said:
"Apparently, miners are selling $BTC a lot today. I'm withal long, but this is not a good point in the short-run."
Other analysts asked Ki whether miners are selling enough Bitcoin to accept a considerable consequence on the almost-term cost trend of BTC. In response, Ki noted that although the total outflow is not significantly large, the miner outflow is still relatively high compared to the last few days. He added:
"The total outflow is not that big, just information technology's relatively increasing compared to past days. Also, the number of outflow txns is unusually high today. The miner-to-exchange period seems pocket-sized for now, and then I stick to my long. I hope those outflows are OTC deals."
Miners tin can place significant selling pressure on Bitcoin, peculiarly if big amounts are collectively sold on exchanges. However, in the medium to long term, the accumulation of BTC past institutions could showtime the sell-off.
Why this isn't so concerning in the medium term
In May, Cointelegraph reported that the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) had been accumulating more than Bitcoin than was being mined.
In recent months, Grayscale has continued adding to its reserves to laissez passer $10 billion in assets under management. If this trend remains intact, it can help offset the selling pressure from miners and whales in the curt to medium term.
In October, Dan Tapiero, the co-founder of 10T Holdings, said Bitcoin could also face a potential supply crisis as a result.
— Dan Tapiero (@DTAPCAP) October fourteen, 2020SHORTAGES of #Bitcoin possible.
Barry'south @Grayscale trust is eating up btc like there is no tomorrow.
If 77% of all newly mined turns into 110%, information technology's lights out.
Non-miner supply volition get held off mkt in squeeze.
Shorts will exist dead. Price can go to any number. pic.twitter.com/4S4TrLNH8J
Miners could cause a curt-term Bitcoin pullback, only BTC repeatedly failed to surpass the $19,600 resistance level. Hence, an statement could be made that the sell-off from miners comes during a flow when investors already anticipated a sharp correction.
Moreover, on-concatenation indicators such every bit the depression exchange inflows and Bitcoin substitution reserves at the lowest level since Baronial 2018 could likewise offset near-term bearishness, preventing BTC from dropping further to $sixteen,000 or possibly lower.
Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/not-a-good-signal-bitcoin-miner-sell-off-risk-hits-highest-in-3-years
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